Monthly Archives: June 2020

Job Losses Still Too High

Popular Economics Weekly St.LouisFRED The U.S. economy is recovering very slowly, in part because the number filing for first-time unemployment benefits is still too high (see above graph). Why? Businesses are still shedding workers because the COVID-19 pandemic is not … Continue reading

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Have Home Sales Reached Bottom?

The Mortgage Corner Reuters/ICAP Why is it important to report on the housing market? Because there is a housing shortage  already (Forbes says up to 3.8 million unit shortfall to date), and the NYTimes, among others, is predicting a record … Continue reading

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Economic Recovery Picks Up Steam

Popular Economics Weekly FREDUMich The head of steam analogy seems to be working for our economic recovery, as consumers let off steam after two months of staying at home with a burst of shopping activity from the re-openings. We said … Continue reading

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The Recession Has Arrived, No Big Surprise!

Financial FAQs The Dow plunged 1,862 points on Thursday, as the Business Cycle Dating Committee of the National Bureau of Economic Research, which maintains a chronology of the peaks and troughs in economic activity in the United States, had just … Continue reading

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May Employment Rise is Big Surprise!

Financial FAQs MarketWatch.com What happened? American workers are suddenly going back on the job; at least 2.5 million of them, according to the Labor Department. That knocks down the number of unemployed to maybe 20 million, and surprised economists. A … Continue reading

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Why Has U.S. Made Such a Mess of It?

Popular Economics Weekly Wrightson.com Private sector employment decreased by – 2,760,000 jobs from April to May according to the May ADP National Employment Report®, much less than the original estimate of –8 million jobs. It precedes Friday’s official government unemployment … Continue reading

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Why Has U.S. Made Such a Mess of It?

Popular Economics Weekly Wrightson.com Private sector employment decreased by – 2,760,000 jobs from April to May according to the May ADP National Employment Report® released today that precedes Friday’s official government unemployment report for May. Friday’s unemployment report is predicted … Continue reading

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Why the Housing Shortage?

The Mortgage Corner Wrightson.com We are now beginning to feel the recession in housing caused by the Coronavirus pandemic. What can we say with so many living on the edge because of the loss, or temporary hiatus, of their jobs? … Continue reading

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Why a Housing Shortage at This Time?

The Mortgage Corner Wrightson.com The Pending Home Sales Index (PHSI),* http://www.nar.realtor/pending-home-sales, a forward-looking indicator of home sales based on contract signings, fell 21.8 percent to 69.0 in April. Year-over-year, contract signings shrank 33.8 percent. An index of 100 is equal … Continue reading

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