Tag Archives: interest rates

Might We Have More Than One Pandemic?

Popular Economics Weekly Wrightson/ICAP Yes, says behavioral economist Robert Shiller, who won his Nobel prize for the study of human behavior in financial markets. Why? Financial market investors are panicking because of the COVID-19 pandemic, for starters, which could affect … Continue reading

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Housing Market Will Survive Coronavirus

The Mortgage Corner NAHB.org What happens to housing with the COVID-19 pandemic? It had been on the road to recovery with record low interest rates; so much so that single-family housing starts have been soaring since 2019 as more millennials … Continue reading

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Housing Market (Still) Alive and Well

The Mortgage Corner FRED-ICAP All is still well with residential housing into this new year. Both housing starts and permits exceeded predictions, with starts now at 1.57 annual units, and permits at a 13-year high of 1.551 million units annualized. … Continue reading

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Who Is Fully Employed in January?

Financial FAQs MarketWatch It looks like everyone is employed in the service sector, but manufacturing is sputtering. There were 44,000 new construction jobs and a whopping 72,000 in Education and health services. But manufacturing lost another 12,000 jobs in January; … Continue reading

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2020—A Year of Living Dangerously

Popular Economics Weekly FRED.gov There is plenty of speculation on the effects of killing Iran’s Quds Force General Qassem Suleimani. Of course the first question is how Iran will retaliate? But terrorist attacks by its proxies, such as by the … Continue reading

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Full Speed Ahead for Housing Construction, Sales?

The Mortgage Corner Wrightson.com The ultra-low interest rates are making a difference as homebuilder sentiment is soaring along with new building permits, which should boost new and existing-home sales as well. For instance, more new homes on the market encourage … Continue reading

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Consumer Confidence Is Boosting Housing

The Mortgage Corner StLouisFRED New-home sales are now back to the long term average in the above graph that dates back to the 1960s, and consumers are still reasonably confident of their future. “Sales of new single‐family houses in October … Continue reading

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Is It Start of a New Housing Boom?

The Mortgage Corner Calculated Risk We should be careful in announcing a new housing boom. It can be a two-edged pronouncement, since a housing bust followed the last housing boom and precipitated the Great Recession. But it certainly looks like … Continue reading

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What’s Happening To Interest Rates?

Popular Economics Weekly StLouisFRED The Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) rose 0.4 percent in October on a seasonally adjusted basis after being unchanged in September, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Over the last 12 … Continue reading

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Why Today’s Irrational Exuberance?

Financial FAQs Wrightson-ICAP Fed Chairman Alan Greenspan said in a memorable 1996 speech, “…how do we know when irrational exuberance has unduly escalated asset values, which then become subject to unexpected and prolonged contractions as they have in Japan over … Continue reading

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