Category Archives: housing market

US Economy Has Landed

Popular Economics Weekly There is no longer any doubt with the initial estimate of fourth quarter GDP growth just in. The US economy has made a soft landing. The economy grew 3.3 percent in Q4 after a 4.9 percent increase … Continue reading

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Housing Recession Over?

The Mortgage Corner Is the housing recession over? The conforming 30-year fixed rate dropped to 6.60 percent this week, according to Freddie Mac. The fixed 30-year mortgage rate rose to its maximum 7.8 percent in October 2023 before gradually descending … Continue reading

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Q4 Growth Prospects Improve

The Mortgage Corner Prospects for better fourth quarter economic growth are improving. Why? Interest rates are declining along with inflation rates. The Atlanta Fed’s GDPNow Q4 estimate of economic growth that I like just picked up steam after several downward … Continue reading

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Why the Irrational Pessimism?

Financial FAQs Public polls seem to be saying one thing, economic facts another. Real Clear Politics compendium of 11 opinion polls on whether participants approve or disapprove of President Biden’s handling of the economy show a negative -22.5 percent spread. … Continue reading

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Consumers Much Happier This Season

Financial FAQs Consumer confidence in December as measured by the Conference Board’s Consumer Confidence Index is rising again; it jumped 10 points to 110.7 from 101. Why should that be, with all the doom and gloom and geopolitical uncertainty bombarding … Continue reading

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How Low Can Interest Rates Go?

The Mortgage Corner Stocks and bonds are rallying after Chairman Powell sounded dovish for the first time at his December press conference following their last FOMC meeting of the year. “The question of when it will be appropriate to begin … Continue reading

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Please Drop Interest Rates Sooner!

Financial FAQs If I were the Fed Governors, I wouldn’t wait for inflation to drop further to begin lowering interest rates. The inflation rate has been falling steadily for more than a year and we might be in the midst of a … Continue reading

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Housing Starts Up, Recession Worries Over?

Financial FAQs The best indicator of a looming recession is to watch how consumers behave. And this will be a record year for travel on the ground and in the air. So, would consumers continue travelling if they saw financial … Continue reading

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Where’s the Inflation–Part II?

Popular Economics Weekly We can also look at the behavior of wholesale prices to see if inflation has been conquered. The Producer Price Index has been at or below the Fed’s target 2 percent since May 2023. It’s the cost … Continue reading

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Where’s the Inflation?

Financial FAQs What if there’s too little inflation? That’s actually the definition of a recession. It seems unlikely at the moment and inflation is still a major upset for consumers. But it could happen if the Fed doesn’t ease up on … Continue reading

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